Optimism as October exports surge to UGX2.7 trillion

Peter 17th Dec, 2024 Economy Pedson Mumbere
Optimism as October exports surge to UGX2.7 trillion

Containers with Ugandan goods await loading onto ships at the Kenyan Port of Mombasa. INTERNET PHOTO


Uganda’s export earnings surged to US$744.86 million (approximately UGX2.7 trillion) in October 2024, marking a 9% increase from US$682.69 million (UGX2.47 trillion) in September.

This growth was fuelled by strong performances in mineral products, tea, tobacco, fish and its products, hides and skins, simsim, beans, and oil re-exports, according to the Ministry of Finance's Performance of the Economy Monthly Report.

The report highlighted that exports, excluding coffee and mineral products, also registered notable growth of 8.2%, increasing from US$266.15 million to US$288.05 million. “This signals a rise for the majority of our exports in October 2024,” the report noted.

  • The Middle East emerged as the leading destination for Uganda’s exports, accounting for 38.3% of total exports. Within the region, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) dominated, receiving 97.8% of Uganda’s exports to the Middle East.

Other key markets included the East African Community (26.6%), European Union (EU) (15.4%), with Italy and Germany leading at 50.5% and 24.9% of EU-bound exports, respectively. Exports to Asia accounted for 14.5%, reflecting growing trade ties with the continent.

The value of merchandise imports also rose significantly by 21.7%, climbing from US$1.05 billion (UGX3.8 trillion) in September to US$1.27 billion (UGX4.6 trillion) in October 2024. This sharp increase was largely driven by higher volumes of formal private sector non-oil imports, including machinery equipment, vehicles and accessories, base metals, and mineral products.

  • Asia contributed about 44% of total imports with Chinese taking more than half of merchandise imports (51.3%), while India contributed 24.7% followed by Japan with 9%.

Locally, the EAC countries contributed 21.8% of total imports while rest of Africa contributed 12.7% and the Middle East 11.8%.

The increase in export earnings, particularly from mineral products and agricultural commodities, highlights Uganda’s expanding role in global trade. Analysts attribute this strong performance to rising demand for Uganda’s diverse exports and improved market access in key regions such as the Middle East and Europe.

Conversely, the sharp rise in imports underscores growing domestic demand for machinery, vehicles, and industrial inputs, which are critical for sustaining economic growth and infrastructure development.

With export revenues reaching UGX2.7 trillion and a parallel rise in imports to UGX4.6 trillion, Uganda’s trade dynamics reflect both opportunities and challenges as the country navigates its path toward economic transformation. The Ministry of Finance however, remains optimistic, projecting continued growth driven by strategic trade partnerships and expanding export volumes.

  • On the other hand, the report also indicated that credit from financial institutions to households and businesses approvals for October 2024 experienced rose to about UGX1.6 trillion in the period under review. This growth was largely attributed to businesses securing working capital ahead of the festive season, particularly in the Business Services sector.
  • A significant improvement in the rate of loan approvals was also recorded. According to the report, the approval rate rose sharply from 55.2% in September to 75.4% in October 2024, reflecting a more responsive and confident banking sector.

Personal and Household Loans continued to dominate credit activity in October, with loans worth UGX445 billion approved, representing 28% of the total credit extended. This trend underscores increased consumer spending in preparation for the holiday season.

The report further highlights that Personal Loans and Household loans accounted for the largest share of total credit approved for lending in October 2024.

The Business Community, Social, and Other Services sector followed, with UGX254 billion approved, accounting for 16% of the total credit. The Trade sector secured UGX248 billion (15.6%), while Building, Construction, and Real Estate attracted loans worth UGX231 billion (14.5%). Meanwhile, the Manufacturing sector received UGX211 billion, contributing 13.3% to the total credit approved.

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